Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Couturier 53.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 72.0%
Defensive zone
Couturier 86.5%
Neutral zone
Couturier 57.4%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Draisaitl
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Draisaitl
Couturier
Last 10: Draisaitl 3-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
6
1
Draisaitl
Couturier
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
7
Draisaitl
Couturier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Draisaitl
Couturier
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
53.4% (758)
+2.5%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
62.9% (70)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
50.7% (227)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Draisaitl shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Couturier
Home
55.1% (508)
50.7% (517)
Away
58.5% (595)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Draisaitl
Couturier
P1
55.8%
55.2%
P2
55.7%
53.0%
P3
59.0%
53.3%
OT
60.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 08:47 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:59 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:13 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 12, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 00:03 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 13:43 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |