Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.1%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 50.5% vs Monahan 51.0% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 59.1%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 60.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 51.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Draisaitl
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Draisaitl
Monahan
Last 5: Draisaitl 1-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Draisaitl
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Draisaitl
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Draisaitl
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (931)
50.8% (723)
+0.7%
Power Play
48.2% (282)
53.3% (152)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (127)
46.2% (13)
+2.6%
On power play, Monahan has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Draisaitl is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (867).
Draisaitl shoots left. Monahan is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Monahan
Home
51.3% (637)
52.5% (421)
Away
49.8% (703)
49.9% (467)
By Period
Draisaitl
Monahan
P1
50.3%
51.4%
P2
47.4%
52.3%
P3
53.2%
50.2%
OT
57.7%
35.7%
Final 5 min
46.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
50.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 05:11 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 03:46 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |