Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Monahan 54.5% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 53.5%
Defensive zone
Monahan 65.8%
Neutral zone
Monahan 58.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Draisaitl
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Draisaitl
Monahan
Last 10: Draisaitl 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Draisaitl
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Draisaitl
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Draisaitl
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
57.1% (871)
+0.3%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
53.1% (262)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
44.6% (139)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Draisaitl shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Monahan
Home
56.4% (734)
55.3% (644)
Away
57.5% (717)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Draisaitl
Monahan
P1
55.6%
53.9%
P2
62.1%
55.3%
P3
52.4%
54.4%
OT
61.5%
76.5%
Final 5 min
55.6%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 10:59 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:46 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 07:09 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |