Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.0% vs Monahan 52.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 73.3%
Defensive zone
Monahan 61.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 50.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Draisaitl
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Draisaitl
Monahan
Last 9: Draisaitl 5-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Draisaitl
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Draisaitl
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
0
Draisaitl
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (923)
52.4% (853)
+1.3%
Power Play
56.1% (244)
58.6% (174)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (29)
46.5% (144)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Draisaitl shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Monahan
Home
55.2% (636)
53.4% (624)
Away
53.4% (560)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Draisaitl
Monahan
P1
50.8%
53.7%
P2
56.6%
52.4%
P3
54.0%
51.6%
OT
67.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:02 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 07:54 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 10:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |