Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Draisaitl wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 55.2% vs Monahan 49.1% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 24-14 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 88.9%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 94.4%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 89.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 91.3%
91.3%
8.7%
Draisaitl
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
14
(38 meetings)
24
14
Draisaitl
Monahan
Last 10: Draisaitl 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
8
4
Draisaitl
Monahan
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
10
6
Draisaitl
Monahan
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
6
4
Draisaitl
Monahan
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (675)
46.4% (532)
+8.4%
Power Play
60.2% (266)
59.1% (132)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (90)
50.0% (30)
-1.1%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (694).
Draisaitl shoots left. Monahan is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Monahan
Home
57.3% (525)
49.0% (355)
Away
54.0% (506)
49.0% (339)
By Period
Draisaitl
Monahan
P1
56.1%
49.8%
P2
54.5%
46.6%
P3
56.6%
50.9%
OT
54.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
55.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 16:33 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 15:19 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 18:19 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 14:00 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 14:17 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 17:44 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |