Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Pinto 50.7% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 97.0%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 56.3%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 94.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 85.4%
85.4%
14.6%
Draisaitl
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Draisaitl
Pinto
Last 10: Draisaitl 8-2 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
7
0
Draisaitl
Pinto
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
4
Draisaitl
Pinto
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
0
Draisaitl
Pinto
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
50.2% (520)
+5.7%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
68.0% (25)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
49.4% (89)
+0.6%
On power play, Pinto has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Draisaitl shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Pinto
Home
55.1% (508)
48.8% (301)
Away
58.5% (595)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Draisaitl
Pinto
P1
55.8%
51.2%
P2
55.7%
48.9%
P3
59.0%
53.3%
OT
60.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | OT | 00:55 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 19:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 21, 2025 | OT | 00:25 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 21, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |