Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 63.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Pinto 50.5% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 63.3%
Defensive zone
Pinto 87.5%
Neutral zone
Pinto 71.6%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
Draisaitl
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Draisaitl
Pinto
Last 8: Draisaitl 3-5 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Draisaitl
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
3
Draisaitl
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
51.2% (463)
+6.2%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
50.0% (14)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
36.8% (19)
+17.7%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Draisaitl shoots left. Pinto is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Pinto
Home
56.4% (734)
52.2% (205)
Away
57.5% (717)
49.5% (291)
By Period
Draisaitl
Pinto
P1
55.6%
48.7%
P2
62.1%
51.8%
P3
52.4%
51.2%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |