Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 14 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Pinto 50.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 22-17 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 87.4%
Defensive zone
Pinto 52.7%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 72.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Draisaitl
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
17
(39 meetings)
22
17
Draisaitl
Pinto
Last 10: Draisaitl 8-2 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
15
3
Draisaitl
Pinto
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
14
Draisaitl
Pinto
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
7
0
Draisaitl
Pinto
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
50.6% (2,716)
+2.3%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
54.4% (90)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
44.9% (234)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Draisaitl shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,185).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Pinto
Home
54.6% (7,049)
50.9% (1,501)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
49.6% (1,539)
By Period
Draisaitl
Pinto
P1
52.7%
48.3%
P2
53.6%
51.7%
P3
53.4%
50.9%
OT
57.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
52.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | OT | 00:55 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 19:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 21, 2025 | OT | 00:25 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 21, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 04:22 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 11:56 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 11:49 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |