Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 63.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Thompson 44.0% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 96.1%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 77.4%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 93.9%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Draisaitl
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Draisaitl
Thompson
Last 8: Draisaitl 7-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
0
Draisaitl
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
44.6% (709)
+12.8%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
41.5% (53)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
35.1% (97)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Draisaitl shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Thompson
Home
56.4% (734)
45.5% (426)
Away
57.5% (717)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Draisaitl
Thompson
P1
55.6%
48.5%
P2
62.1%
43.8%
P3
52.4%
38.1%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |