Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.0% vs Thompson 43.7% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 81.8%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 63.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 72.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Draisaitl
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Draisaitl
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (923)
41.9% (597)
+11.8%
Power Play
56.1% (244)
50.5% (95)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (29)
25.0% (12)
+33.6%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +33.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Draisaitl is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (399).
Draisaitl shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Thompson
Home
55.2% (636)
47.1% (367)
Away
53.4% (560)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Draisaitl
Thompson
P1
50.8%
44.2%
P2
56.6%
41.6%
P3
54.0%
42.9%
OT
67.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |