Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 40.3% vs Couture 47.6% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 81.8%
Defensive zone
Couture 50.6%
Neutral zone
Brown 66.1%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Brown
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Brown
Couture
Last 5: Brown 1-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Brown
Couture
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
2
Brown
Couture
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brown
Couture
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
35.7% (154)
49.2% (1,083)
-13.5%
Power Play
23.1% (13)
56.7% (60)
-33.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
35.4% (206)
-35.4%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +35.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Brown is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Brown shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Brown
Couture
Home
39.7% (73)
49.6% (713)
Away
30.5% (95)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Brown
Couture
P1
30.4%
47.2%
P2
39.7%
45.0%
P3
32.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
34.5%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Logan Couture |