Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Brown wins 36.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 39.6% vs Couture 48.3% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 61.8%
Defensive zone
Couture 55.7%
Neutral zone
Brown 52.0%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Brown
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Brown
Couture
Last 7: Brown 3-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brown
Couture
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
2
Brown
Couture
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brown
Couture
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (457)
48.8% (8,919)
-11.4%
Power Play
39.4% (33)
54.6% (624)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
39.8% (992)
-14.8%
On power play, Couture has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Brown is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Brown shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Home / Away
Brown
Couture
Home
39.7% (239)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
35.3% (255)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Brown
Couture
P1
39.8%
47.9%
P2
33.7%
47.9%
P3
38.9%
49.2%
Final 5 min
42.7%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.4%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Logan Brown |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Logan Brown |