Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 35.2% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 43.3% vs Thompson 54.3% (-16.4%)
Offensive zone
Brown 68.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 69.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.3%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Brown
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
39.2% (166)
55.5% (236)
-16.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
60.0% (5)
+40.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
56.5% (46)
-56.5%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +56.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Brown is 35.2% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Brown shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Brown
Thompson
Home
36.5% (85)
53.1% (128)
Away
42.2% (83)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Brown
Thompson
P1
42.1%
59.0%
P2
29.1%
55.4%
P3
46.4%
52.6%
Final 5 min
45.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
39.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%