Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brown wins 36.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 39.6% vs Thompson 52.9% (-15.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 94.8%
Defensive zone
Brown 81.2%
Neutral zone
Brown 91.3%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 90.8%
90.8%
9.2%
Brown
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Brown
Thompson
Last 6: Brown 0-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Brown
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Brown
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Brown
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (457)
54.1% (5,812)
-16.7%
Power Play
39.4% (33)
54.8% (135)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
47.9% (1,381)
-22.9%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Brown is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Brown shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Brown
Thompson
Home
39.7% (239)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
35.3% (255)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Brown
Thompson
P1
39.8%
53.2%
P2
33.7%
52.9%
P3
38.9%
52.8%
Final 5 min
42.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.4%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2019 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 1 | 02:15 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 2 | 00:44 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |