Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 35.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 43.3% vs Sturm 52.5% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 69.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 74.9%
Neutral zone
Sturm 56.6%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Brown
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Brown
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brown
2
0
Brown
Sturm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Brown
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Brown
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
39.2% (166)
54.0% (480)
-14.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
28.6% (7)
+71.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.0% (102)
-50.0%
On power play, Brown has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Brown is 35.2% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Brown shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Brown
Sturm
Home
36.5% (85)
54.0% (287)
Away
42.2% (83)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Brown
Sturm
P1
42.1%
53.5%
P2
29.1%
51.0%
P3
46.4%
55.1%
Final 5 min
45.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
39.3%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 02:38 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Logan Brown |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 05:56 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Logan Brown |