Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Brown wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 43.3% vs Roy 48.9% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 74.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 84.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 81.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 82.2%
17.8%
82.2%
Brown
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Brown
Roy
Last 5: Brown 4-1 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
2
0
Brown
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
2
1
Brown
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
39.2% (166)
49.5% (746)
-10.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.7% (75)
+49.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
42.7% (110)
-42.7%
On power play, Brown has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Brown is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Brown shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Brown
Roy
Home
36.5% (85)
47.7% (491)
Away
42.2% (83)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Brown
Roy
P1
42.1%
51.1%
P2
29.1%
44.6%
P3
46.4%
50.9%
Final 5 min
45.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
39.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Logan Brown |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Logan Brown |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:32 | Neutral | Logan Brown |