Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +24.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brown wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 40.3% vs Nosek 58.0% (-24.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 95.7%
Defensive zone
Brown 70.8%
Neutral zone
Brown 86.6%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Brown
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Brown
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Brown
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
3
Brown
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
35.7% (154)
59.7% (469)
-24.0%
Power Play
23.1% (13)
100.0% (4)
-76.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
56.5% (124)
-56.5%
On power play, Nosek has a +76.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Brown is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Brown shoots left. Nosek is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Brown
Nosek
Home
39.7% (73)
59.0% (295)
Away
30.5% (95)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Brown
Nosek
P1
30.4%
56.3%
P2
39.7%
61.9%
P3
32.7%
59.2%
Final 5 min
39.5%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
34.5%
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:02 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |