Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Brown wins 36.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 39.6% vs Nosek 53.6% (-16.3%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Brown 86.7%
Defensive zone
Brown 75.2%
Neutral zone
Brown 87.2%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Brown
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Brown
Nosek
Last 10: Brown 1-9 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Brown
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brown
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
6
Brown
Nosek
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (457)
54.9% (2,674)
-17.5%
Power Play
39.4% (33)
44.7% (47)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
47.4% (424)
-22.4%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Brown is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Brown shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Brown
Nosek
Home
39.7% (239)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
35.3% (255)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Brown
Nosek
P1
39.8%
52.3%
P2
33.7%
54.0%
P3
38.9%
54.6%
Final 5 min
42.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.4%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:02 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Logan Brown |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 11:49 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 09:27 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:59 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |