Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 40.3% vs Gourde 49.7% (-15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 67.5%
Defensive zone
Brown 53.1%
Neutral zone
Brown 62.5%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Brown
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Brown
Gourde
Last 6: Brown 2-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Brown
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Brown
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Brown
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
35.7% (154)
49.1% (847)
-13.4%
Power Play
23.1% (13)
79.5% (44)
-56.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
39.5% (81)
-39.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Brown is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Brown shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Brown
Gourde
Home
39.7% (73)
50.1% (491)
Away
30.5% (95)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Brown
Gourde
P1
30.4%
54.7%
P2
39.7%
45.0%
P3
32.7%
49.4%
Final 5 min
39.5%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
34.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:29 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 01:45 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 16:27 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |