Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 36.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 39.6% vs Gourde 48.2% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 74.3%
Defensive zone
Brown 59.3%
Neutral zone
Brown 62.7%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Brown
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Brown
Gourde
Last 6: Brown 2-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Brown
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Brown
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Brown
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (457)
48.4% (4,954)
-11.0%
Power Play
39.4% (33)
57.4% (376)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
39.9% (554)
-14.9%
On power play, Gourde has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Brown is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Brown shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Brown
Gourde
Home
39.7% (239)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
35.3% (255)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Brown
Gourde
P1
39.8%
49.9%
P2
33.7%
47.4%
P3
38.9%
47.5%
Final 5 min
42.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:29 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 01:45 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 16:27 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |