Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cooley on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cooley wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.4% vs Dowd 49.1% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 76.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 93.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 67.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Cooley
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Cooley
Dowd
Last 8: Cooley 5-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
3
0
Cooley
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
3
Cooley
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (392)
51.7% (644)
-7.8%
Power Play
46.5% (71)
0.0% (2)
+46.5%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
41.6% (221)
+15.5%
On power play, Cooley has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Cooley is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Cooley shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Cooley
Dowd
Home
45.0% (211)
48.6% (451)
Away
44.0% (259)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Cooley
Dowd
P1
44.0%
49.1%
P2
49.7%
47.3%
P3
38.0%
51.4%
Final 5 min
43.9%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:06 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 10:37 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:05 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |