Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Cooley wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.3% vs Dowd 49.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 95.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 81.6%
Neutral zone
Cooley 64.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Cooley
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Cooley
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Cooley
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Cooley
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (632)
52.2% (835)
-8.1%
Power Play
46.3% (108)
60.0% (10)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
44.0% (350)
+11.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Cooley is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Cooley shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Cooley
Dowd
Home
46.4% (418)
51.5% (619)
Away
42.7% (342)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Cooley
Dowd
P1
44.3%
51.7%
P2
45.6%
51.6%
P3
44.0%
47.0%
OT
100.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
41.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.7%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |