Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Cooley wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 39.5% vs Dowd 48.3% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 92.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 76.2%
Neutral zone
Cooley 76.8%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Cooley
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cooley
Dowd
Last 5: Cooley 1-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cooley
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Cooley
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Cooley
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (634)
49.2% (778)
-11.2%
Power Play
44.7% (38)
58.3% (12)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
23.5% (17)
44.0% (234)
-20.5%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Cooley is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Cooley shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Cooley
Dowd
Home
37.7% (332)
46.3% (492)
Away
38.4% (357)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Cooley
Dowd
P1
39.1%
49.1%
P2
37.8%
48.2%
P3
36.2%
46.9%
OT
100.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
33.1%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
38.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 07:20 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |