Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Cooley wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.4% vs Donato 48.1% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 58.4%
Defensive zone
Donato 59.9%
Neutral zone
Cooley 51.0%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Cooley
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cooley
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
1
0
Cooley
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Cooley
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (392)
48.1% (258)
-4.2%
Power Play
46.5% (71)
43.2% (37)
+3.3%
On even strength, Donato has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Cooley is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Cooley shoots left. Donato is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Cooley
Donato
Home
45.0% (211)
45.8% (142)
Away
44.0% (259)
49.0% (153)
By Period
Cooley
Donato
P1
44.0%
48.1%
P2
49.7%
46.6%
P3
38.0%
46.8%
Final 5 min
43.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |