Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cooley on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Cooley wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 42.6% vs Donato 44.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 64.6%
Defensive zone
Donato 56.9%
Neutral zone
Donato 56.6%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Cooley
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Cooley
Donato
Last 7: Cooley 5-2 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
5
0
Cooley
Donato
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Cooley
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Cooley
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,658)
44.2% (1,179)
-2.5%
Power Play
46.1% (217)
46.3% (246)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (44)
36.4% (11)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Cooley has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Cooley is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,205).
Cooley shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Cooley
Donato
Home
43.1% (961)
47.2% (743)
Away
41.4% (958)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Cooley
Donato
P1
42.3%
43.4%
P2
43.9%
45.1%
P3
40.0%
44.4%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
38.8%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
42.3%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:29 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |