Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cooley on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cooley wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 42.0% vs Donato 45.1% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 80.3%
Defensive zone
Donato 69.0%
Neutral zone
Donato 73.4%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 78.0%
22.0%
78.0%
Cooley
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cooley
Donato
Last 5: Cooley 4-1 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
4
0
Cooley
Donato
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Cooley
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (1,520)
44.4% (1,096)
-3.3%
Power Play
44.7% (208)
46.3% (240)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (43)
36.4% (11)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Cooley has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Cooley is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,116).
Cooley shoots left. Donato is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Cooley
Donato
Home
41.9% (883)
47.7% (708)
Away
41.1% (888)
41.3% (639)
By Period
Cooley
Donato
P1
41.3%
43.5%
P2
43.1%
45.4%
P3
39.5%
44.4%
OT
100.0%
77.8%
Final 5 min
37.1%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
46.0%▲
40.5%
41.5%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:29 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |