Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Couture wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Barzal 42.2% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Couture leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 55.1%
Defensive zone
Couture 76.0%
Neutral zone
Couture 70.4%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Couture
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Couture
Barzal
Last 10: Couture 3-7 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
3
0
Couture
Barzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
6
4
Couture
Barzal
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
4
Couture
Barzal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
41.9% (3,558)
+6.9%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
43.4% (205)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
42.3% (26)
-2.5%
On power play, Couture has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Couture is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,626).
Couture shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,695).
Home / Away
Couture
Barzal
Home
49.4% (5,418)
43.1% (1,893)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
40.9% (1,896)
By Period
Couture
Barzal
P1
47.9%
40.6%
P2
47.9%
44.4%
P3
49.2%
41.0%
OT
48.0%
27.6%
Final 5 min
45.7%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 16:26 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 07:35 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 17:29 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Logan Couture |