Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Couture wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Barzal 39.3% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 80.3%
Defensive zone
Couture 80.4%
Neutral zone
Barzal 52.2%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Couture
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Couture
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Couture
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
35.0% (283)
+14.2%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
55.6% (9)
+1.1%
On even strength, Couture has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Couture is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Couture shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Couture
Barzal
Home
49.6% (713)
37.0% (138)
Away
45.0% (636)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Couture
Barzal
P1
47.2%
29.5%
P2
45.0%
44.5%
P3
50.0%
31.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |