Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.8% vs Barzal 46.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 70.3%
Defensive zone
Couture 65.5%
Neutral zone
Barzal 54.3%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Couture
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Couture
Barzal
Last 7: Couture 3-4 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
0
Couture
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
3
Couture
Barzal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Couture
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (986)
46.6% (483)
+2.1%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
40.9% (22)
+17.6%
On power play, Couture has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Couture is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Couture shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Couture
Barzal
Home
47.2% (625)
49.6% (242)
Away
50.2% (650)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Couture
Barzal
P1
46.8%
42.4%
P2
49.8%
49.5%
P3
49.8%
47.7%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Logan Couture |