Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Couture wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 60.5%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 53.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 61.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Couture
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Couture
Zibanejad
Last 8: Couture 5-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Couture
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
4
1
Couture
Zibanejad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Couture
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
50.1% (1,051)
-0.9%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
58.3% (120)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
41.9% (227)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Couture is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Couture shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Couture
Zibanejad
Home
49.6% (713)
49.0% (681)
Away
45.0% (636)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Couture
Zibanejad
P1
47.2%
49.9%
P2
45.0%
47.6%
P3
50.0%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
48.3%
Final 5 min
42.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Logan Couture |