Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Couture wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 49.0% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 53.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 52.8%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 60.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Couture
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Couture
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
1
Couture
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (78)
50.9% (913)
-6.0%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
59.0% (39)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
37.5% (160)
+26.1%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Couture is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Couture shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Couture
Zibanejad
Home
45.2% (62)
51.1% (536)
Away
52.9% (34)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Couture
Zibanejad
P1
55.2%
50.1%
P2
44.4%
47.3%
P3
50.0%
50.7%
OT
16.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Logan Couture |