Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Couture wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 51.3% vs Backlund 48.1% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 57.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 58.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 58.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Couture
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Couture
Backlund
Last 5: Couture 1-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Couture
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Couture
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (453)
47.3% (357)
+3.9%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
55.0% (40)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
59.3% (27)
30.0% (10)
+29.3%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Couture is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Couture shoots left. Backlund is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Couture
Backlund
Home
54.4% (261)
45.0% (211)
Away
48.2% (228)
50.5% (196)
By Period
Couture
Backlund
P1
57.6%
47.6%
P2
48.4%
53.0%
P3
47.7%
41.2%
OT
54.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
51.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |