Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 49.0% vs Backlund 50.3% (-2.4%)
Offensive zone
Couture 64.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 65.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Couture
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (78)
51.0% (1,205)
-6.1%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
59.3% (108)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
42.3% (234)
+21.3%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Couture is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Couture shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Couture
Backlund
Home
45.2% (62)
51.2% (782)
Away
52.9% (34)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Couture
Backlund
P1
55.2%
51.5%
P2
44.4%
49.8%
P3
50.0%
49.9%
OT
16.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%