Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Backlund 50.8% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 55.4%
Defensive zone
Couture 65.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.1%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Couture
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Couture
Backlund
Last 10: Couture 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
3
Couture
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Couture
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
4
3
Couture
Backlund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
51.9% (1,083)
-2.7%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
51.7% (120)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
44.3% (183)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Couture shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Couture
Backlund
Home
49.6% (713)
51.9% (673)
Away
45.0% (636)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Couture
Backlund
P1
47.2%
51.4%
P2
45.0%
50.5%
P3
50.0%
51.4%
OT
50.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 15:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 19:12 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 10:41 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Logan Couture |