Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 50.4% vs Backlund 47.7% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 56.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 54.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 56.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Couture
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Couture
Backlund
Last 10: Couture 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
1
Couture
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
4
Couture
Backlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
7
Couture
Backlund
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (839)
47.2% (1,002)
+3.8%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
46.7% (150)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (63)
50.0% (170)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Couture is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Couture shoots left. Backlund is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Couture
Backlund
Home
51.3% (462)
48.3% (633)
Away
49.6% (488)
46.7% (689)
By Period
Couture
Backlund
P1
54.4%
49.2%
P2
49.4%
48.9%
P3
46.9%
45.4%
OT
58.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
50.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2014 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:09 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 12:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |