Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 47.2%). Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.5% vs Backlund 47.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 65.5%
Defensive zone
Couture 50.8%
Neutral zone
Couture 57.4%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Couture
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Couture
Backlund
Last 9: Couture 2-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Couture
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Couture
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Couture
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (527)
48.7% (912)
-1.1%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
46.3% (82)
-46.3%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
38.3% (149)
+8.2%
On power play, Backlund has a +46.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Couture is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Couture shoots left. Backlund is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Couture
Backlund
Home
48.2% (309)
48.2% (596)
Away
45.7% (267)
46.1% (547)
By Period
Couture
Backlund
P1
42.9%
49.3%
P2
49.0%
44.7%
P3
50.6%
47.0%
OT
20.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
41.2%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 13:07 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |