Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Couture wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 46.8% vs Backlund 49.6% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 66.8%
Defensive zone
Couture 67.7%
Neutral zone
Couture 66.8%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Couture
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Couture
Backlund
Last 9: Couture 2-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Couture
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Couture
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
3
Couture
Backlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (526)
49.2% (884)
-2.8%
Power Play
42.4% (33)
44.3% (61)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (50)
57.0% (86)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Couture is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Couture shoots left. Backlund is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Couture
Backlund
Home
46.5% (333)
49.3% (531)
Away
46.0% (276)
49.8% (500)
By Period
Couture
Backlund
P1
45.7%
47.1%
P2
43.7%
53.7%
P3
48.7%
47.8%
OT
83.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
46.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 16:13 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 14:04 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 06:53 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |