Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Frost 46.2% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 61.7%
Defensive zone
Couture 76.2%
Neutral zone
Couture 50.6%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Couture
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Couture
Frost
Last 9: Couture 2-7 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
4
Couture
Frost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Couture
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Couture
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
45.6% (833)
+3.6%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
46.0% (100)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
55.6% (18)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Couture shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Couture
Frost
Home
49.6% (713)
47.0% (440)
Away
45.0% (636)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Couture
Frost
P1
47.2%
42.5%
P2
45.0%
47.9%
P3
50.0%
46.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
42.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:55 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:10 | Neutral | Logan Couture |