Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Frost 50.3% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 55.6%
Defensive zone
Couture 81.4%
Neutral zone
Couture 63.5%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Couture
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Couture
Frost
Last 10: Couture 3-7 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
4
Couture
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Couture
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Couture
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
49.4% (3,598)
-0.6%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
55.5% (625)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
52.8% (36)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Couture shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Couture
Frost
Home
49.4% (5,418)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Couture
Frost
P1
47.9%
50.8%
P2
47.9%
51.1%
P3
49.2%
48.5%
OT
48.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:55 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:10 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Logan Couture |