Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Couture wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Hartman 44.0% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 67.5%
Defensive zone
Couture 50.9%
Neutral zone
Hartman 54.5%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Couture
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Couture
Hartman
Last 10: Couture 4-6 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
3
Couture
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
1
Couture
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Couture
Hartman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
42.6% (495)
+6.6%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
38.5% (26)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
48.8% (43)
-13.4%
On power play, Couture has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Couture is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Couture shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Couture
Hartman
Home
49.6% (713)
43.4% (288)
Away
45.0% (636)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Couture
Hartman
P1
47.2%
43.1%
P2
45.0%
43.4%
P3
50.0%
42.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:23 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:32 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:00 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 19:47 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:24 | Neutral | Logan Couture |