Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 47.0%). Couture wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 49.0% vs Hartman 47.3% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Hartman 53.0%
Defensive zone
Hartman 52.9%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.6%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Couture
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (78)
47.1% (649)
-2.2%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
47.1% (68)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
45.2% (73)
+18.4%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Couture is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Couture shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Couture
Hartman
Home
45.2% (62)
46.5% (361)
Away
52.9% (34)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Couture
Hartman
P1
55.2%
45.1%
P2
44.4%
44.4%
P3
50.0%
50.9%
OT
16.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%