Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.8% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 83.7%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 57.7%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 71.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Couture
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Couture
Stamkos
Last 7: Couture 6-1 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Couture
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
3
0
Couture
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
3
0
Couture
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (986)
49.3% (789)
-0.6%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
56.9% (181)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (195)
54.1% (98)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Couture is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Couture shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Couture
Stamkos
Home
47.2% (625)
52.0% (512)
Away
50.2% (650)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Couture
Stamkos
P1
46.8%
42.1%
P2
49.8%
56.4%
P3
49.8%
53.7%
OT
46.2%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Logan Couture |