Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Couture wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 66.9%
Defensive zone
Couture 86.6%
Neutral zone
Couture 74.3%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Couture
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Couture
Stamkos
Last 10: Couture 2-8 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Couture
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
4
Couture
Stamkos
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Couture
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
55.3% (628)
-6.1%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
55.1% (216)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
40.2% (87)
-4.8%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Couture is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Couture shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Couture
Stamkos
Home
49.6% (713)
55.5% (499)
Away
45.0% (636)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Couture
Stamkos
P1
47.2%
50.7%
P2
45.0%
53.8%
P3
50.0%
55.9%
OT
50.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
42.8%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:28 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 19:24 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 16:52 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Logan Couture |