Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Couture wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Johnson 50.7% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 71.6%
Defensive zone
Couture 84.5%
Neutral zone
Couture 53.1%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Couture
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
47.4% (78)
+1.8%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
57.6% (33)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
100.0% (2)
-64.6%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +64.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Couture is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Couture shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Couture
Johnson
Home
49.6% (713)
50.9% (57)
Away
45.0% (636)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Couture
Johnson
P1
47.2%
44.1%
P2
45.0%
59.4%
P3
50.0%
52.3%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.8%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%