Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Couture wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 49.0% vs Johnson 45.7% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 60.7%
Defensive zone
Johnson 52.0%
Neutral zone
Johnson 54.8%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Couture
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (78)
44.6% (285)
+0.3%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
46.7% (60)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
16.7% (6)
+46.9%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +46.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Couture is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Couture shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Couture
Johnson
Home
45.2% (62)
50.8% (179)
Away
52.9% (34)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Couture
Johnson
P1
55.2%
41.3%
P2
44.4%
41.8%
P3
50.0%
49.6%
OT
16.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%