Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 50.2% vs Sturm 52.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 56.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 62.8%
Neutral zone
Sturm 62.9%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Shaw
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Shaw
Sturm
Last 5: Shaw 3-2 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Sturm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Shaw
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (80)
54.0% (480)
+3.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
28.6% (7)
+71.4%
Penalty Kill
32.4% (34)
50.0% (102)
-17.6%
On power play, Shaw has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Shaw is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Shaw shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Shaw
Sturm
Home
56.9% (58)
54.0% (287)
Away
43.9% (57)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Shaw
Sturm
P1
43.6%
53.5%
P2
50.0%
51.0%
P3
57.9%
55.1%
Final 5 min
44.4%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 14:50 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Logan Shaw |