Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Reichel wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reichel 42.1% vs Gourde 49.7% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reichel 70.9%
Defensive zone
Reichel 72.2%
Neutral zone
Reichel 74.8%
Result
Lukas Reichel favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Reichel
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Reichel
Gourde
Last 6: Reichel 1-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Reichel
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
4
Reichel
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reichel
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (327)
51.2% (469)
-12.1%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
42.9% (21)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
37.5% (48)
-37.5%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Reichel is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Reichel shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Reichel
Gourde
Home
43.7% (206)
47.8% (301)
Away
34.7% (150)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Reichel
Gourde
P1
35.5%
47.3%
P2
39.5%
53.4%
P3
46.5%
48.6%
Final 5 min
35.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
39.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:26 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 01:58 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:45 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |