Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Reichel wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reichel 41.6% vs Gourde 48.2% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Reichel 77.2%
Defensive zone
Reichel 78.1%
Neutral zone
Reichel 77.5%
Result
Lukas Reichel favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Reichel
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Reichel
Gourde
Last 10: Reichel 3-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Reichel
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
5
Reichel
Gourde
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reichel
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (668)
48.4% (4,954)
-8.3%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
57.4% (376)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (6)
39.9% (554)
-39.9%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +39.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Reichel is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Reichel shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Reichel
Gourde
Home
41.2% (410)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
39.4% (320)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Reichel
Gourde
P1
41.9%
49.9%
P2
36.3%
47.4%
P3
42.8%
47.5%
OT
100.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
36.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:26 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 01:58 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:45 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |