Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 65.1% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.7% vs Glendening 51.8% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 77.5%
Defensive zone
Glendening 57.9%
Neutral zone
Glendening 50.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Staal
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
Glendening
Last 5: Staal 4-1 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Glendening
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Glendening
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (939)
53.5% (404)
+2.7%
Power Play
66.9% (139)
100.0% (4)
-33.1%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (239)
46.8% (141)
-3.3%
On power play, Glendening has a +33.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Staal is 65.1% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Staal shoots left. Glendening is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Staal
Glendening
Home
55.4% (663)
46.9% (241)
Away
54.7% (654)
56.2% (308)
By Period
Staal
Glendening
P1
54.9%
50.6%
P2
55.1%
51.8%
P3
54.0%
52.9%
OT
70.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
57.3%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
50.0%▼
52.5%
55.0%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |