Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.0% vs 56.5%). Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Glendening wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 55.4% vs Duchene 55.6% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 72.2%
Defensive zone
Glendening 81.4%
Neutral zone
Glendening 50.1%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Glendening
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Glendening
Duchene
Last 6: Glendening 3-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Glendening
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
3
0
Glendening
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (725)
56.5% (566)
+1.8%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
61.3% (62)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (215)
22.2% (9)
+26.2%
On penalty kill, Glendening has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Glendening is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Glendening shoots right. Duchene is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Glendening
Duchene
Home
55.4% (469)
56.6% (318)
Away
56.6% (479)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Glendening
Duchene
P1
53.5%
57.2%
P2
57.0%
55.1%
P3
58.0%
55.6%
OT
22.2%
81.3%
Final 5 min
59.2%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:29 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |