Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Glendening wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 56.3% vs Duchene 52.1% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Glendening 52.2%
Defensive zone
Glendening 93.5%
Neutral zone
Glendening 81.4%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 91.1%
91.1%
8.9%
Glendening
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Glendening
Duchene
Last 5: Glendening 4-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
3
1
Glendening
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
0
Glendening
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (703)
53.0% (723)
+5.6%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
49.5% (101)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (159)
43.8% (16)
+5.9%
On power play, Glendening has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Glendening is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Glendening shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Glendening
Duchene
Home
54.3% (468)
54.9% (408)
Away
60.0% (413)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Glendening
Duchene
P1
58.2%
52.5%
P2
57.6%
51.7%
P3
56.0%
53.6%
OT
16.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:46 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |